Nasdaq Down 1%, Chip Stocks Slide, China Tumbles 6%
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Nasdaq Down 1%, Chip Stocks Slide, China Tumbles 6%

The recent performance of the U.S. stock market has stirred varied reactions among investors, as the three major indices—Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500—closed lower on Tuesday. The Nasdaq took the brunt of the downturn, falling by 1%. This downturn comes amidst a flurry of freshly released earnings reports from corporate giants including Citigroup and Bank of America, which have left some investors uncertain about the future trajectory of the market. The semiconductor sector is particularly under scrutiny as concerns regarding demand loom large. Adding fuel to the fire, the energy sector experienced a staggering 3% decline, primarily driven by a decrease in oil prices.

At the close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted by 324.80 points, a 0.75% drop, marking an end at 42,740.42 points. The Nasdaq Composite finished down 187.10 points, equating to a 1.01% dip and closing at 18,315.59 points. Similarly, the S&P 500 ended the day down 44.59 points, or 0.76%, at a closing value of 5,815.26 points. Among these, the energy component of the S&P 500 stood out, concluding the day with a 3% decrease—the most significant single-day decline since early October 2023. Reports indicating that Israel would refrain from targeting Iranian oil infrastructure contributed to the drop in oil prices, which subsequently lowered demand forecasts.

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The semiconductor stocks faced a collective setback, mainly influenced by ASML's downward revision of its net sales and gross margin projections for 2025. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index tumbled by a notable 5%, marking its largest single-day drop since the beginning of September. Nvidia, which set a closing record just a day earlier, saw a decline of 4.5%, while AMD's stock fell by 5.2%.

A wave of adverse market sentiment was also felt among Chinese enterprises listed on American exchanges, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index surging downwards nearly 6%. Several key players fell hard, including Alibaba, which posted a 5.5% loss, and JD.com, which suffered an 9% decline.

On a contrasting note, Apple's stock price maintained an upward trend, closing at an all-time high of $233.85—up 1.1% for the day. This growth was buoyed by the announcement of the latest iPad Mini model, its first update since 2021. Investment firm Evercore ISI has given Apple a "tactical outperform" rating, citing the company is likely to publish favorable performance results later this month. A recent report suggested that bearish investors had fixated on the smartphone market; however, Evercore argued that the risks are overstated, and growth in emerging markets alongside a robust upgrade cycle in the U.S. could offset these concerns. Their survey indicated strong upgrade demand, partially fueled by trends in artificial intelligence.

Meanwhile, the financial heavyweights like Citigroup and Bank of America released mixed financial results on Tuesday. Bank of America outperformed expectations in its third-quarter profit, resulting in a slight stock increase of 0.5%. However, Citigroup's shares dropped by 5% due to a lackluster performance in net income and net interest income, despite robust results driven by debt underwriting within its investment banking sector.

Walgreens Boots Alliance also attracted attention, as its Q4 adjusted profits surpassed expectations. The company announced plans to shutter 1,200 stores as part of cost-cutting measures, resulting in its stock soaring by 15.8%.

Market analysts highlighted that a significant amount of pressure remains concentrated on semiconductor stocks, as noted by Kevin Gordon, a senior investment strategist at Charles Schwab. He indicated that this pressure is contributing to downward momentum for the tech sector overall. He further elaborated that the number of advancing and declining stocks within the Nasdaq was fairly balanced, suggesting that the sales of stocks, which had previously performed well, were now weighing down the index.

Interestingly, the preceding day saw U.S. markets close high, with both the S&P 500 and the Dow achieving historic intraday and closing highs—the Dow crossing the 43,000 threshold for the first time. Strategist Scott Chronert of Citigroup remarked that the S&P 500 appeared considerably overvalued, yet he noted that positive news could sustain this condition for some time.

In terms of economic indicators, a recent report from the New York Federal Reserve revealed that New York state’s manufacturing index for October fell by 23.4 points to a five-month low of -11.9, indicating contraction below the zero mark. This figure starkly contrasts with analysts’ expectations, which anticipated a reading of 3.0. The report also highlighted a sharp drop in the new orders index to -10.2, while shipments decreased to -2.7. Although employment rates climbed by 9.8 points to 4.1, pressures from rising prices posed further inflationary concerns.

However, amid these challenges, the six-month outlook index for expected economic activity rose to a three-year high of 38.7, suggesting an increasing optimism among manufacturers about the economic prospects. Analysts believe these mixed data points illustrate the evolving landscape of the U.S. economy, which is becoming increasingly polarized—some households thrive while others struggle. While the stock market has surged, propelling household net worth to record levels, a large segment of the population remains distanced from stock ownership, particularly amidst rising debt levels in recent years.

Earlier on Tuesday, Mary Daly of the San Francisco Federal Reserve voiced that as inflation subsides and the labor market cools, it is crucial for the Fed to remain vigilant. Nevertheless, she expressed optimism that officials can maintain the current economic expansion momentum. "We are witnessing some of the same patterns in this expansion," she affirmed, noting that the labor force participation rate for the prime-age group has reached new highs. Comparatively, she stated, the ongoing economic expansion is still relatively early when viewed against recent historical standards.

Since the Fed's September meeting, data indicates that hiring activity was better than expected last month, while core inflation exceeded projections, causing a few Fed officials to endorse a more gradual approach to interest rate cuts in the future. Daly expressed that the Fed's goals for inflation and employment are currently in a state of equilibrium, emphasizing the importance of continuing to support a strong labor market while simultaneously containing inflation around the targeted 2% rate.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders have raised the likelihood of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in November to about 98%. This reflects a shift in market sentiment as economic indicators fluctuate.

In commodity markets, the international crude oil futures saw a significant decline, with the WTI crude oil futures settling down by $3.25, a 4.4% drop, concluding at $70.58 per barrel.

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